APL final poll shows Bawumia leading NPP presidential primaries with 69.7%

The Africa Policy Lens (APL) final poll on the New Patriotic Party’s (NPP) presidential primaries shows former Vice President Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia emerging as the leading contender among party delegates nationwide.

According to the poll, Dr. Bawumia recorded the highest level of support both before and after constituency visits, with his backing increasing following direct engagements with delegates. The findings suggest his campaign message resonated more strongly with respondents compared to other aspirants.

The survey indicates that 69.7 percent of respondents described Dr. Bawumia’s message as clear and convincing, the highest among the candidates assessed. He was followed by Ken Ohene Agyapongwith 48.3 percent and Bryan Acheampong with 40.5 percent, while the remaining aspirants recorded marginal figures.

APL’s data further show that campaign outreach significantly influenced delegate preferences. About 91.9 percent of respondents said they were physically present during visits by presidential aspirants, while 6 percent followed the engagements through media and social media platforms. Only 2.1 percent indicated they did not follow the campaigns at all.

On constituency coverage, the poll found that Dr. Bawumia, Ken Ohene Agyapong and Bryan Acheampong had visited nearly all constituencies. More than 97 percent of respondents confirmed visits by Dr. Bawumia, while Ken Ohene Agyapong recorded 98.4 percent and Bryan Acheampong 82.6 percent.

Regarding key campaign themes, delegates said aspirants performed best on party unity and reconciliation (52.9 percent) and support for grassroots members and delegates (51.9 percent). Policy vision for the country accounted for 28.3 percent, while internal party reforms received 10.5 percent.

The poll also outlines the demographic profile of respondents, showing 76.1 percent male and 23.9 percent female participation. Most respondents were aged 36–45 years (38.2 percent), followed by the 46–60 years group (33.6 percent). Nearly all respondents (99.3 percent) were polling station executives.

The APL poll was conducted between 8 December 2025 and 23 January 2026 through telephone interviews across all 276 constituencies. A total of 9,122 respondents were interviewed, and the results carry a ±2 percent margin of error at a 95 percent confidence level.

Africa Policy Lens says the findings reflect prevailing sentiment within the NPP ahead of the presidential primaries, with Dr. Bawumia maintaining a clear lead as the race intensifies.

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